@Article{SantosPere:2014:WaDeFo,
author = "Santos, Cl{\'a}udia Cristina dos and Pereira Filho, Augusto
Jos{\'e}",
affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
title = "Water Demand Forecasting Model for the Metropolitan Area of
S{\~a}o Paulo, Brazil",
journal = "Water Resources Management",
year = "2014",
volume = "28",
number = "13",
pages = "4401--4414",
keywords = "water consumption, forecasting, artificial neural network, water
supply system, urban system, water resources.",
abstract = "This work is concerned with forecasting water demand in the
metropolitan area of S{\~a}o Paulo (MASP) through water
consumption, meteorological and socio-environmental variables
using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) system. Possible
socio-environmental and meteorological conditions affecting water
consumption at Cantareira water treatment station (WTS) in the
MASP, Brazil were analyzed for the year 2005. Eight model
configurations were developed and used for the CantareiraWTS. The
best performance was obtained for 12-h average of the input
variables. The ANN model performed best with three times steps in
advance. The hourly forecasting was obtained with acceptable error
levels. Model results indicate an overall tendency for small
errors. The proposed method is useful tool for water demand
forecasting and water systems management. The paper is an
important contribution since it takes into account weather
variables and introduces some diagnostic studies on water
consumption in one of the largest urban environments of the planet
with its unique peculiarities such as anthropic affects on weather
and climate that feeds back into the water consumption. The
averaging is a low pass filter indeed and we used it to improve
Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR).",
doi = "10.1007/s11269-014-0743-7",
url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0743-7",
issn = "0920-4741 and 1573-1650",
label = "lattes: 4781997141262229 1 SantosPere:2014:WaDeFo",
language = "en",
targetfile = "art%3A10.1007%2Fs11269-014-0743-7.pdf",
url = "http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11269-014-0743-7",
urlaccessdate = "28 abr. 2024"
}